At the opening of a new double top decisive in Brussels, with total uncertainty weighed on Wednesday night on the ability of European leaders to end the debt crisis that hit Europe for two years and now threatens to take Italy and throughout the euro area.
Providing some relief to markets, the future President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Mario Draghi, however, indicated that the central bank would remain present on the bond markets as they become unstable, a sign that was expected for several days.
"The Eurosystem is determined, with its unconventional measures to prevent the malfunctioning of financial markets and monetary block transmission (monetary policy)," he said while stating that these measures were temporary in nature, according the text of a speech in Rome.
This formulation of the transmission of monetary policy refers to the language chosen by the current President of the ECB, Jean-Claude Trichet, to justify the continuation of the redemption of bonds on the secondary market.
These statements are particularly important as they occur when the role of the ECB in managing the crisis is the subject of a debate between the leaders of the European Union.
At the insistence of Germany, a sentence stating that the Heads of State and Government of the single currency "fully supported" the ECB in its action to ensure price stability, "including through unconventional measures in the unique environment of the current financial markets, "was removed from the text of the conclusions.
However, several sources have indicated that the German opposition was less about a fundamental problem on the continuation of the SMP (Securities Markets Programme) as the Berlin will not be seen as giving instructions to the ECB.
GREEK DISCOUNT
A triple agreement must be ratified at meetings of Heads of State and Government of the EU and the euro area: a substantial reduction of debt through a significant effort Greek banks, a bank recapitalization plan and a proliferation of capabilities of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).
But on these aspects, little or no progress has been made since the summit on Sunday.
The divisions are particularly important on the level of discount on securities considered Greek, which should amount to at least 50% but could go well beyond, according to German wishes.
In a speech to the Bundestag, Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the purpose of Europeans would be to bring the Greek debt to 120% of GDP by 2020.
"I will work to find a viable solution," she told the German parliament before they decide on a plan to strengthen the EFSF."We will probably accompany Greece for a period of time."
The report on the sustainability of the Greek debt presented by the troika of international donors – European Commission, ECB and IMF – as a goal of reducing debt through a 50% discount on Greek sovereign debt and public support reassessed to 114 billion euros.
At the summit of July 21, EU leaders had agreed with the banks on an aid in Athens providing a discount of 21% of the securities and public participation of 109 billion euros.
THE CASE OF ITALY
The framework set Saturday on the recapitalization of banks is projected to be endorsed in the same form, that is to say, leaving open the possibility of government guarantees and financing without disclosing the total number of needs of banks – expected around 100 billion euros – according to draft conclusions that Reuters has obtained.
The third and final part of the European response, namely the formula to multiply the capacity of EFSF, however discussions remain open even if the bases of an agreement are there.
France and Germany have agreed to work on a dual mechanism of partial insurance of sovereign debt issued by troubled countries and the creation of a new "special vehicle" that would raise funds with the guarantee for the EFSF repurchase of debt of these countries on the secondary market.
Such a formula would, however, not to communicate a clear figure on the new strike force of the Fund, a sign, however, expected by the markets to judge its ability to help countries like Italy, which threatens to lead to his downfall the euro area as a whole.
European leaders, led by Angela Merkel and President Nicolas Sarkozy, have called on Sunday to present Silvio Berlusconi at the European Council on Wednesday a plan to correct the strong growth and reduce the debt of Italy, of the order of 1,800 billion euros.
But the Italian Prime Minister should finally make only vague promises of economic reform, far from the expected firm commitments.
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