Unemployment started to rise in France in August after two consecutive months of decline, a disappointing performance contrasts with the higher growth forecast for 2010 after a government second quarter more than initially announced argued.
The number of jobseekers in category A, which includes persons without work and actively seeking work, rose by 15,900 (+0.6%) last month in France, to 2,692,500, after a 0.5% decline in July and 0.3% in June, according to data released Friday by the Ministry of Economy and job center.
His progression over one year stood at 4.9% against 5.4% in late July.
Adding job seekers engaged in a Pool (Class B and C), the number increases by 0.2% in monthly in August (7100 people), after an increase of 0.1% in July and 0, 4% in June, up 7.1% from one year to another.
Recalling that the number of unemployed in category A had decreased by 14,400 in July and 8,600 in June, the Minister of Economy has estimated that the increase in August "does not interrupt the tendency to stabilize the labor market since the beginning of the year. "
Christine Lagarde also stressed that the French economy has re-created nearly 60,000 jobs since the beginning of the year.
This underperformance on the unemployment front contrasts with the recovery of growth in the second quarter announced earlier.
GDP growth in France has reached 0.7% during the period from April to June against 0.6% previously announced, according to the detailed results of quarterly national accounts published by INSEE.
The Prime Minister said on this basis that the growth of the French economy is expected to exceed 1.5% this year and reach 2% in 2011.
"Our growth is expected to exceed, I say now exceed 1.5% by 2010 and reach 2% in 2011," said Francois Fillon at the conclusion of the UMP parliamentary days in Biarritz.
However, economists have highlighted the weakness of growth in household consumption in the second quarter, attributing the uncertainties related to unemployment.
Household consumption, which represents 60% of GDP, rose only 0.3% in the second quarter from the previous quarter when it had stagnated.
The growth of household disposable income has, however, accelerated to +0.9% in the second quarter after 0.6% last quarter and their purchasing power has sharply accelerated to +0.6% +0.1% cons.
At the same time, the savings rate rose from 15.8% to 16.1% of gross disposable income.
"Until the situation will not really improved on the employment front, the French will be tempted to feed their precautionary savings leaves to suppress their desire for consumption," warned Alexander Law, chief economist at the institute Xerfi.
Assuming a growth forecast of 1.5% throughout the year with a slowdown in the second half, job center provides 65,000 net new payroll jobs this year, with virtually none in the second half.
In terms of number of job seekers, job center expected to have increased by 33,000 over one year to 2.67 million people in late 2010 in Class A.
For 2011, job center, which retains a growth assumption of 1.5%, expects 76.000 net new payroll jobs and a decline of 39,000 in the number of jobseekers in category A.
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